GENERAL REGRESSION NEURAL NETWORK (GRNN) PADA PERAMALAN DATA TIME SERIES

General Regression Neural Network (GRNN) is one method that was developed from the concept of artificial neural network that can be used for forecasting. This method was applied to predict the time series data that has a causal relations where the forecasting method used previously (ARIMA BOXJenkins...

وصف كامل

محفوظ في:
التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
المؤلفون الرئيسيون: , Luh Putu Widya Adnyani, , Prof. Drs. H. Subanar, Ph.D
التنسيق: Theses and Dissertations NonPeerReviewed
منشور في: [Yogyakarta] : Universitas Gadjah Mada 2012
الموضوعات:
ETD
الوصول للمادة أونلاين:https://repository.ugm.ac.id/99085/
http://etd.ugm.ac.id/index.php?mod=penelitian_detail&sub=PenelitianDetail&act=view&typ=html&buku_id=55212
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الوصف
الملخص:General Regression Neural Network (GRNN) is one method that was developed from the concept of artificial neural network that can be used for forecasting. This method was applied to predict the time series data that has a causal relations where the forecasting method used previously (ARIMA BOXJenkins) is not able to explain the presence of linkage data. This research was conducting by taking the dollar exchage rate and composite stock price index(IHSG). By using the GRNN methode will obtained the predictive value in some future periode. The advantages using this method is faster in term of computation and doesnâ��t requared the presence of a data asumptions. GRNN method produces more accurate predictive value comapred with ARIMA. It was shown that the MSE value is smaller than ARIMA