Potential health and economic impacts of dexamethasone treatment for patients with COVID-19
Dexamethasone can reduce mortality in hospitalised COVID-19 patients needing oxygen and ventilation by 18% and 36%, respectively. Here, we estimate the potential number of lives saved and life years gained if this treatment were to be rolled out in the UK and globally, as well as the cost-effectiven...
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2022
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Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology Chemistry Physics and Astronomy |
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Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology Chemistry Physics and Astronomy Ricardo Águas Adam Mahdi Rima Shretta Peter Horby Martin Landray Lisa White Fatima Arifi Chynar Zhumalieva Inke N.D. Lubis Antoninho Benjamin Monteiro Ainura Moldokmatova Siyu Chen Aida Estebesova Mofakhar Hussain Dipti Lata Emmanuel A. Bakare Biniam Getachew Mohammad Nadir Sahak Phetsavanh Chanthavilay Akindeh M. Nji Yu Nandar Aung Nathaniel Hupert Sai Thein Than Tun Wirichada Pan-Ngum K. C. Sarin Handoyo Harsono Sana Eybpoosh Renato Mendes Coutinho Semeeh A. Omoleke Amen Patrick Nwosu Nantasit Luangasanatip Ainura Kutmanova Aizhan Dooronbekova Antonio Ximenes Merita Monteiro Olivier Celhay Keyrellous Adib Amel H. Salim Yuki Yunanda Mahnaz Hossain Fariba Amirah Azzeri Penny Hancock Hakim Bekrizadeh Sayed Ataullah Saeedzai Ivana Alona Grace Wezi Mzumara Joao Martins Jose L. Herrera-Diestra Hamid Sharifi Talant Abdyldaev Babak Jamshidi Noran Naqiah Hairi Naima Nasir Rashid U. Zaman Sopuruchukwu Obiesie Roberto A. Kraenkel Nicholas Letchford Lucsendar Raimunda Fernandes Alves Sandra Adele Lorena Suárez-Idueta Nicole Advani Manar Marzouk Viviana Mabombo Aibek Mukambetov Adeniyi Kolade Aderoba Bpriya Lakshmy Tbalasubramaniam Nicole Feune de Colombi Maria Angela Varela Niha Francisco Obando Parinda Wattanasri Sompob Saralamba Fatiha Shabaruddin Shafiun Nahin Shimul Maznah Dahlui Reshania Naidoo Caroline Franco Michael G. Klein Aisuluu Kubatova Nusrat Jabin Shwe Sin Kyaw Luzia Tomas Freitas Sunil Pokharel Proochista Ariana Chris Erwin G. Mercado Shamil Ibragimov John Robert C. Medina Mesulame Namedre Potential health and economic impacts of dexamethasone treatment for patients with COVID-19 |
description |
Dexamethasone can reduce mortality in hospitalised COVID-19 patients needing oxygen and ventilation by 18% and 36%, respectively. Here, we estimate the potential number of lives saved and life years gained if this treatment were to be rolled out in the UK and globally, as well as the cost-effectiveness of implementing this intervention. Assuming SARS-CoV-2 exposure levels of 5% to 15%, we estimate that, for the UK, approximately 12,000 (4,250 - 27,000) lives could be saved between July and December 2020. Assuming that dexamethasone has a similar effect size in settings where access to oxygen therapies is limited, this would translate into approximately 650,000 (240,000 - 1,400,000) lives saved globally over the same time period. If dexamethasone acts differently in these settings, the impact could be less than half of this value. To estimate the full potential of dexamethasone in the global fight against COVID-19, it is essential to perform clinical research in settings with limited access to oxygen and/or ventilators, for example in low- and middle-income countries. |
author2 |
HIV/STI Surveillance Research Center, and WHO Collaborating Center for HIV Surveillance, Institute for Futures Studies in Health, Kerman University of Medical Sciences |
author_facet |
HIV/STI Surveillance Research Center, and WHO Collaborating Center for HIV Surveillance, Institute for Futures Studies in Health, Kerman University of Medical Sciences Ricardo Águas Adam Mahdi Rima Shretta Peter Horby Martin Landray Lisa White Fatima Arifi Chynar Zhumalieva Inke N.D. Lubis Antoninho Benjamin Monteiro Ainura Moldokmatova Siyu Chen Aida Estebesova Mofakhar Hussain Dipti Lata Emmanuel A. Bakare Biniam Getachew Mohammad Nadir Sahak Phetsavanh Chanthavilay Akindeh M. Nji Yu Nandar Aung Nathaniel Hupert Sai Thein Than Tun Wirichada Pan-Ngum K. C. Sarin Handoyo Harsono Sana Eybpoosh Renato Mendes Coutinho Semeeh A. Omoleke Amen Patrick Nwosu Nantasit Luangasanatip Ainura Kutmanova Aizhan Dooronbekova Antonio Ximenes Merita Monteiro Olivier Celhay Keyrellous Adib Amel H. Salim Yuki Yunanda Mahnaz Hossain Fariba Amirah Azzeri Penny Hancock Hakim Bekrizadeh Sayed Ataullah Saeedzai Ivana Alona Grace Wezi Mzumara Joao Martins Jose L. Herrera-Diestra Hamid Sharifi Talant Abdyldaev Babak Jamshidi Noran Naqiah Hairi Naima Nasir Rashid U. Zaman Sopuruchukwu Obiesie Roberto A. Kraenkel Nicholas Letchford Lucsendar Raimunda Fernandes Alves Sandra Adele Lorena Suárez-Idueta Nicole Advani Manar Marzouk Viviana Mabombo Aibek Mukambetov Adeniyi Kolade Aderoba Bpriya Lakshmy Tbalasubramaniam Nicole Feune de Colombi Maria Angela Varela Niha Francisco Obando Parinda Wattanasri Sompob Saralamba Fatiha Shabaruddin Shafiun Nahin Shimul Maznah Dahlui Reshania Naidoo Caroline Franco Michael G. Klein Aisuluu Kubatova Nusrat Jabin Shwe Sin Kyaw Luzia Tomas Freitas Sunil Pokharel Proochista Ariana Chris Erwin G. Mercado Shamil Ibragimov John Robert C. Medina Mesulame Namedre |
format |
Article |
author |
Ricardo Águas Adam Mahdi Rima Shretta Peter Horby Martin Landray Lisa White Fatima Arifi Chynar Zhumalieva Inke N.D. Lubis Antoninho Benjamin Monteiro Ainura Moldokmatova Siyu Chen Aida Estebesova Mofakhar Hussain Dipti Lata Emmanuel A. Bakare Biniam Getachew Mohammad Nadir Sahak Phetsavanh Chanthavilay Akindeh M. Nji Yu Nandar Aung Nathaniel Hupert Sai Thein Than Tun Wirichada Pan-Ngum K. C. Sarin Handoyo Harsono Sana Eybpoosh Renato Mendes Coutinho Semeeh A. Omoleke Amen Patrick Nwosu Nantasit Luangasanatip Ainura Kutmanova Aizhan Dooronbekova Antonio Ximenes Merita Monteiro Olivier Celhay Keyrellous Adib Amel H. Salim Yuki Yunanda Mahnaz Hossain Fariba Amirah Azzeri Penny Hancock Hakim Bekrizadeh Sayed Ataullah Saeedzai Ivana Alona Grace Wezi Mzumara Joao Martins Jose L. Herrera-Diestra Hamid Sharifi Talant Abdyldaev Babak Jamshidi Noran Naqiah Hairi Naima Nasir Rashid U. Zaman Sopuruchukwu Obiesie Roberto A. Kraenkel Nicholas Letchford Lucsendar Raimunda Fernandes Alves Sandra Adele Lorena Suárez-Idueta Nicole Advani Manar Marzouk Viviana Mabombo Aibek Mukambetov Adeniyi Kolade Aderoba Bpriya Lakshmy Tbalasubramaniam Nicole Feune de Colombi Maria Angela Varela Niha Francisco Obando Parinda Wattanasri Sompob Saralamba Fatiha Shabaruddin Shafiun Nahin Shimul Maznah Dahlui Reshania Naidoo Caroline Franco Michael G. Klein Aisuluu Kubatova Nusrat Jabin Shwe Sin Kyaw Luzia Tomas Freitas Sunil Pokharel Proochista Ariana Chris Erwin G. Mercado Shamil Ibragimov John Robert C. Medina Mesulame Namedre |
author_sort |
Ricardo Águas |
title |
Potential health and economic impacts of dexamethasone treatment for patients with COVID-19 |
title_short |
Potential health and economic impacts of dexamethasone treatment for patients with COVID-19 |
title_full |
Potential health and economic impacts of dexamethasone treatment for patients with COVID-19 |
title_fullStr |
Potential health and economic impacts of dexamethasone treatment for patients with COVID-19 |
title_full_unstemmed |
Potential health and economic impacts of dexamethasone treatment for patients with COVID-19 |
title_sort |
potential health and economic impacts of dexamethasone treatment for patients with covid-19 |
publishDate |
2022 |
url |
https://repository.li.mahidol.ac.th/handle/123456789/75950 |
_version_ |
1763490354157322240 |
spelling |
th-mahidol.759502022-08-04T18:25:40Z Potential health and economic impacts of dexamethasone treatment for patients with COVID-19 Ricardo Águas Adam Mahdi Rima Shretta Peter Horby Martin Landray Lisa White Fatima Arifi Chynar Zhumalieva Inke N.D. Lubis Antoninho Benjamin Monteiro Ainura Moldokmatova Siyu Chen Aida Estebesova Mofakhar Hussain Dipti Lata Emmanuel A. Bakare Biniam Getachew Mohammad Nadir Sahak Phetsavanh Chanthavilay Akindeh M. Nji Yu Nandar Aung Nathaniel Hupert Sai Thein Than Tun Wirichada Pan-Ngum K. C. Sarin Handoyo Harsono Sana Eybpoosh Renato Mendes Coutinho Semeeh A. Omoleke Amen Patrick Nwosu Nantasit Luangasanatip Ainura Kutmanova Aizhan Dooronbekova Antonio Ximenes Merita Monteiro Olivier Celhay Keyrellous Adib Amel H. Salim Yuki Yunanda Mahnaz Hossain Fariba Amirah Azzeri Penny Hancock Hakim Bekrizadeh Sayed Ataullah Saeedzai Ivana Alona Grace Wezi Mzumara Joao Martins Jose L. Herrera-Diestra Hamid Sharifi Talant Abdyldaev Babak Jamshidi Noran Naqiah Hairi Naima Nasir Rashid U. Zaman Sopuruchukwu Obiesie Roberto A. Kraenkel Nicholas Letchford Lucsendar Raimunda Fernandes Alves Sandra Adele Lorena Suárez-Idueta Nicole Advani Manar Marzouk Viviana Mabombo Aibek Mukambetov Adeniyi Kolade Aderoba Bpriya Lakshmy Tbalasubramaniam Nicole Feune de Colombi Maria Angela Varela Niha Francisco Obando Parinda Wattanasri Sompob Saralamba Fatiha Shabaruddin Shafiun Nahin Shimul Maznah Dahlui Reshania Naidoo Caroline Franco Michael G. Klein Aisuluu Kubatova Nusrat Jabin Shwe Sin Kyaw Luzia Tomas Freitas Sunil Pokharel Proochista Ariana Chris Erwin G. Mercado Shamil Ibragimov John Robert C. Medina Mesulame Namedre HIV/STI Surveillance Research Center, and WHO Collaborating Center for HIV Surveillance, Institute for Futures Studies in Health, Kerman University of Medical Sciences Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation Oxford Social Sciences Division Valid International Federal University, Oye-Ekiti Ministry of Health East Timor Ministry of Health Malawai University of the Philippines Manila Université de Yaoundé I Universitas Sumatera Utara Universiti Malaya Payame Noor University Organisation Mondiale de la Santé University of Oxford Menzies School of Health Research Clinical Trial Service Unit and Epidemiological Studies Unit University College London Thailand Ministry of Public Health San Jose State University University of Nottingham University of Dhaka University of Malaya Medical Centre Kermanshah University of Medical Sciences Nuffield Department of Medicine Population Services International Cornell University Universidade Estadual Paulista "Júlio de Mesquita Filho" Pasteur Institute of Iran London School of Economics and Political Science Universidad De Los Andes, Merida Universidade Federal do ABC Oxford Policy Management COVID-19 Task Force for North Sumatera province University of Malaysia Independent researcher (no affiliation) Independent researcher (no affiliation) Soros Foundation in the Kyrgyz Republic Public Fund “Institution of social development” in the Kyrgyz Republic University of Health Sciences USAID Mission in the Kyrgyz Republic Government of the People’s Republic of Bangladesh Universidade Nacional Timor Lorosae Fiji Centre for Communicable Disease Control Universidade da Paz Ministry of Health of the Kyrgyz Republic Oxford Policy Management Ministry of Public Health Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology Chemistry Physics and Astronomy Dexamethasone can reduce mortality in hospitalised COVID-19 patients needing oxygen and ventilation by 18% and 36%, respectively. Here, we estimate the potential number of lives saved and life years gained if this treatment were to be rolled out in the UK and globally, as well as the cost-effectiveness of implementing this intervention. Assuming SARS-CoV-2 exposure levels of 5% to 15%, we estimate that, for the UK, approximately 12,000 (4,250 - 27,000) lives could be saved between July and December 2020. Assuming that dexamethasone has a similar effect size in settings where access to oxygen therapies is limited, this would translate into approximately 650,000 (240,000 - 1,400,000) lives saved globally over the same time period. If dexamethasone acts differently in these settings, the impact could be less than half of this value. To estimate the full potential of dexamethasone in the global fight against COVID-19, it is essential to perform clinical research in settings with limited access to oxygen and/or ventilators, for example in low- and middle-income countries. 2022-08-04T08:03:55Z 2022-08-04T08:03:55Z 2021-12-01 Article Nature Communications. Vol.12, No.1 (2021) 10.1038/s41467-021-21134-2 20411723 2-s2.0-85101016964 https://repository.li.mahidol.ac.th/handle/123456789/75950 Mahidol University SCOPUS https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=85101016964&origin=inward |