PROSES GRADUASI INTENSITAS TRANSISI DENGAN GENERALIZED LINEAR MODEL PADA MODEL MULTI STATUS DAN APLIKASINYA PADA PERHITUNGAN PREMI ASURANSI KESEHATAN RAWAT JALAN
One important assumption in pricing health insurance products is the probability of the individual suffering from a disease or illness. To determine the probabilities can be used multi-model status. There are several approaches in solving the multistate model, one is transition intensity approach. T...
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| Main Authors: | , |
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| 格式: | Theses and Dissertations NonPeerReviewed |
| 出版: |
[Yogyakarta] : Universitas Gadjah Mada
2011
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| 主題: | |
| 在線閱讀: | https://repository.ugm.ac.id/90054/ http://etd.ugm.ac.id/index.php?mod=penelitian_detail&sub=PenelitianDetail&act=view&typ=html&buku_id=52394 |
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| 總結: | One important assumption in pricing health insurance products is the
probability of the individual suffering from a disease or illness. To determine the
probabilities can be used multi-model status. There are several approaches in
solving the multistate model, one is transition intensity approach. Transition
probabilities from a state to another formed from the transition intensities. The
transition intensities is not known their exact value, therefore it needs to be
estimated. One of method is maximum likelihood approach, which would produce
crude intensities. Then the next step is graduate the crude intensities in order to
produce smooth transition intensities. Graduation formed by the Generalized
Linear Models (GLM). The smooth intensities used to calculate transition
probabilities associated with differential equations Kolmogorov Backward and
Forward. These result used as one of the assumptions in determining outpatient
health insurance premiums. |
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