ANALISIS DINAMIKA EVAKUASI SAAT GEMPA BUMI DENGAN PENDEKATAN AGENT-BASED MODELING (STUDI KASUS: RUANG SIDANG 1 JURUSAN TEKNIK MESIN DAN INDUSTRI UGM)

• المؤلفون الرئيسيون: , ILHAM A.H. WIJAYA, , Budi Hartono, ST., MPM., Ph.D.
• التنسيق: Theses and Dissertations NonPeerReviewed
• منشور في: [Yogyakarta] : Universitas Gadjah Mada 2014
• الموضوعات: ETD
• الوصول للمادة أونلاين: https://repository.ugm.ac.id/133957/; http://etd.ugm.ac.id/index.php?mod=penelitian_detail&sub=PenelitianDetail&act=view&typ=html&buku_id=74878
• المؤسسة: Universitas Gadjah Mada

Indonesia is a disaster-prone country. According to data from the Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED), Indonesia is in the 3rd position of 153 countries for the earthquake. Thus, the disaster focus of this research is an earthquake. In earthquake evacuation, the ability to evacuate a lot of people in a short time is required to minimize casualties. Therefore, computational simulation method is used to assist in making the rescue strategy. Interactions occur during the process of simulation. Those interactions are the interaction between individuals and interaction of individual with environment. It is very important to know the mechanism of the interaction that occur during the evacuation and model the interaction mechanism in computational simulation model, to obtain a simulation model that can approximate the real system. This understanding will contribute to design an efective intervention. This study examines the behavioral dynamics, knowing the mechanism of interaction between individuals, and individuals with the environment, to determine the required evacuation time of the earthquake emergency evacuation scenarios by models the mechanism of inter-agent interaction that happens during the evacuation, as well as generating improvements of existing system. This study uses both simulation studies and empirical studies. Model was built by using NetLogo. After model has passed the test, the system improvement scenarios were conducted to determine the best evacuation scenarios. Simulation model was built by using Agent-based Modeling (ABM) method. ABM is used to determine the consequences of interactions between individuals in a dynamic system. The results of the simulations were analyzed with design of experiment. This study modeled the evacuation process in courtroom 1, JTMI UGM. Model has four type agents, they are 29.3% leader, follower 39%, 26% independent, and 5.7% under the table agent. From the simulation results, the evacuation time based on business as usual is 70.5 seconds. The best improvement scenario was done with opening back door of meeting room, adding another exit door located in front of the lecturer�s toilet on the first floor, and splitting the evacuation route into two different routes. The simulation improvement scenarios show lesser evacuation time by 18,5 seconds in comparison to the business-as-usual scenario. The results of the analysis using design of experiment shows that gender factor has a significant effect on evacuation time whereas the behavior factor is not. Related to construction, opening the back door of meeting room and adding emergency exit have significant effect on evacuation time whereas widing the door is not significant.