Predictive Densities for the Lognormal Distribution and Their Applications

Maximum likelihood predictive densities (MLPDs) for a future lognormal observation are obtained and their applications to reliability and life testing are considered. When applied to reliability and failure rate estimations, they give estimators that can be much less biased and less variable than th...

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主要作者: YANG, Zhenlin
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語言:English
出版: Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University 2000
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spelling sg-smu-ink.soe_research-10882010-09-23T05:48:03Z Predictive Densities for the Lognormal Distribution and Their Applications YANG, Zhenlin Maximum likelihood predictive densities (MLPDs) for a future lognormal observation are obtained and their applications to reliability and life testing are considered. When applied to reliability and failure rate estimations, they give estimators that can be much less biased and less variable than the usual maximum likelihood estimations (MLEs) obtained by replacing the unknown parameters in the density function by their MLEs. When applied to lifetime predictions, they give prediction intervals that are shorter than the usual frequentist intervals. Using the MLPDs, it is also rather convenient to construct the shortest prediction intervals. Extensive simulations are performed for comparisons. A numerical example is given for illustration. 2000-01-01T08:00:00Z text https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soe_research/89 info:doi/10.1016/s0026-2714(99)00253-x Research Collection School Of Economics eng Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University Economics
institution Singapore Management University
building SMU Libraries
continent Asia
country Singapore
Singapore
content_provider SMU Libraries
collection InK@SMU
language English
topic Economics
spellingShingle Economics
YANG, Zhenlin
Predictive Densities for the Lognormal Distribution and Their Applications
description Maximum likelihood predictive densities (MLPDs) for a future lognormal observation are obtained and their applications to reliability and life testing are considered. When applied to reliability and failure rate estimations, they give estimators that can be much less biased and less variable than the usual maximum likelihood estimations (MLEs) obtained by replacing the unknown parameters in the density function by their MLEs. When applied to lifetime predictions, they give prediction intervals that are shorter than the usual frequentist intervals. Using the MLPDs, it is also rather convenient to construct the shortest prediction intervals. Extensive simulations are performed for comparisons. A numerical example is given for illustration.
format text
author YANG, Zhenlin
author_facet YANG, Zhenlin
author_sort YANG, Zhenlin
title Predictive Densities for the Lognormal Distribution and Their Applications
title_short Predictive Densities for the Lognormal Distribution and Their Applications
title_full Predictive Densities for the Lognormal Distribution and Their Applications
title_fullStr Predictive Densities for the Lognormal Distribution and Their Applications
title_full_unstemmed Predictive Densities for the Lognormal Distribution and Their Applications
title_sort predictive densities for the lognormal distribution and their applications
publisher Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University
publishDate 2000
url https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soe_research/89
_version_ 1770569003201200128