Hubungan Kausalitas antara Perkembangan Sektor Keuangan Dengan Volatilitas Ekonomi: Kasus Indonesia, 1990.1 - 2004.2
ABSTRACT This study investigates the causality relations between financial development and macroeconomic volatility in Indonesia. Besides we try to identify whether the development of both sectors can reduce the existence of macroeconomic volatility. Using the methodology of Granger causality and To...
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| Format: | Article NonPeerReviewed |
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[Yogyakarta] : Universitas Gadjah Mada
2006
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| Online Access: | https://repository.ugm.ac.id/24196/ http://i-lib.ugm.ac.id/jurnal/download.php?dataId=7167 |
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| Summary: | ABSTRACT
This study investigates the causality relations between financial development and macroeconomic volatility in Indonesia. Besides we try to identify whether the development of both sectors can reduce the existence of macroeconomic volatility. Using the methodology of Granger causality and TodaYamamoto procedure, the result shows that the relationship between financial development and macroeconomic volatility is unidirectional causality. Another evidence indicates the financial development that grows faster will generate the existence of macroeconomic volatility. Prior to causality test, through Engle-Granger, Johansen and Gregory-Hansen test (which includes structural break) reveals there is a cointegration between the variables of financial development with the variable of macroeconomic volatility.
Key Words: Financial Development, Macroeconomic Volatility, Granger Causality, Toda-Yamamoto Test. |
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